Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.324553 0.433865 0.554369 0.694845 0.852127 1.021084 1.214692
2025-04-20 0.186331 0.329256 0.506701 0.731926 1.001098 1.305196 1.668211
2025-04-27 0.126869 0.282802 0.494343 0.777832 1.129541 1.537609 2.034737
2025-05-04 0.095284 0.263162 0.508500 0.850920 1.286957 1.801890 2.437438
2025-05-11 0.065925 0.235462 0.504107 0.894272 1.403207 2.013760 2.775886
2025-05-18 0.038389 0.198171 0.478485 0.904114 1.473553 2.167692 3.043912
2025-05-25 0.012499 0.142470 0.413382 0.851777 1.458380 2.213020 3.178922
2025-06-01 0.001058 0.096284 0.351399 0.795417 1.431777 2.239608 3.287518
2025-06-08 NaN 0.069193 0.315316 0.772033 1.445375 2.313572 3.451147
2025-06-15 NaN 0.057323 0.306545 0.789135 1.513236 2.455674 3.697870
2025-06-22 NaN 0.041603 0.283438 0.780297 1.543121 2.547854 3.882021
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026905 0.255347 0.759652 1.554086 2.614061 4.032753
2025-07-06 NaN 0.023823 0.261460 0.801205 1.659668 2.810479 4.355134
2025-07-13 NaN 0.020927 0.267384 0.843008 1.766921 3.010953 4.685165
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019412 0.277429 0.891885 1.884241 3.224393 5.031158
2025-07-27 NaN 0.021912 0.303488 0.970474 2.045849 3.496948 5.452350
2025-08-03 NaN 0.020142 0.312113 1.016858 2.159820 3.706456 5.794081
2025-08-10 NaN 0.014530 0.301871 1.027399 2.220173 3.844576 6.045486
2025-08-17 NaN 0.005047 0.258592 0.971359 2.178602 3.845291 6.121525
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000467 0.216366 0.910894 2.126633 3.829532 6.174552
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.193273 0.885765 2.126791 3.882539 6.313930
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.190537 0.904145 2.195093 4.028617 6.573238
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.176052 0.894648 2.218385 4.112439 6.751827